cryptocurrency Market Trends: Bitcoin continues to rally, breaking above $170 million at one point, and positive sentiment is building across the market. as of today's Upbit, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at around 169,401,000won per BTC, with the 24-hour rate of change flat at -0.07% (taking a breather after the previous day's surge). some of the major altcoins are showing slight corrections, including Ethereum (ETH) at 6,109,000 won( -0.65%), Ripple (XRP) at 3,896 won (-0.51%), and Solana (SOL) at 294,100 won (-0.78% ). meanwhile, the local market is currently moving without much divergence from the global market, with the price of Bitcoin hovering around $114,000 at the KRW/USD exchange rate.

upbit major coin price (as of October 28, 06:00)

coin Name current Price (KRW) 24 hour rate of change bitcoin (BTC) bCH -0.07 ethereum (ETH) 6,109,000 -0.65 tether (USDT) 1,480 0.0.00 ripple (XRP) 3,896 -0.51 solana (SOL) 3,896 -0.78 u.S.Dcoin (USDC) 1,479 0.0.00 dogecoin (DOGE) dOGE -1.97 tron (TRX) dOGE -0.45 chainlink (LINK) 27,150 -1.09 bitcoin Cash (BCH) 825,500 -0.30

source: Upbit (Korean Won quotes)

bitcoin hit a new yearly high in global markets the previous day, surpassing $115,000, which pushed the Korean won exchange rate above 170 million won per BTC. however, the price corrected slightly overnight due to profit-taking from the short-term surge, and is currently hovering around the KRW 169 million mark. Ethereum also briefly broke above $4,250, but has since retreated back to the KRW 6.3 million mark. the top altcoins by market capitalization are also mixed across the board, giving back some of the previous day's gains. stablecoins, on the other hand, remain pegged to the U.S. dollar, and market liquidity remains stable.

meanwhile, domestic and international investor sentimentremains largely positive. the global risk asset rally is also underway in South Korea, with the Kospi breaking through the 4,000-pointmark, amid macro favorable sentiment, including signs of easing from the U.S. Federal Reserve and easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China. this bullish trend in the traditional financial markets is also translating into improved sentiment in the crypto markets.

real-Time Buy Recommendation Score Trends (Last 24 Hours)

below is the history of cryptocurrency buy recommendation score changes collected over the past day. The score quantifies investor sentiment and the degree of buy recommendation based on market news, with higher values indicating stronger bullish sentiment (closer to 0 is negative and closer to 5 is positive).

time buy Recommendation Score key Issues and Interpretations ž×-×-ר×-ת 2025-10-28 05:35 1.79 Despite BIP-444 liability controversy, positive sentiment prevails on rate cut expectations and stronger institutional buying 2025-10-28 04:44 3.79 citigroup-Coinbase Blockchain Payments Collaboration, BTC Breaks $11.5K, and More Institutional Demand Gains Momentum 2025-10-28 03:40 3.10 altcoin bull run continues, MACD and other technical indicators favorable, institutional buying and partnerships favorable vs. regulatory risks mixed crypto News 2025-10-28 02:43 3.70 big news: Trump family buys BTC, CZ pardons, US-China summit expectations, ADA technology integration, and more crypto News 2025-10-28 01:43 3.70 bullish on massive inflows and policy favor, but regulatory/money laundering risks remain 2025-10-28 00:43 3.38 Positive factors dominate, including BTC all-time high expectations, institutional buying, and IBM digital asset platform unveiling 2025-10-27 23:44 3.17 BTC breaks $120,000, altcoins rally, institutional buying increases, but money laundering allegations weigh on sentiment 2025-10-27 22:39 2.41 Bullish factors such as ZEC surge and net inflows into digital assets, but headwinds such as suspicions of illegal outflows from South Korea and Cambodia 2025-10-27 21:42 2.12 BTC regains key support, whale buying increases, but wary of Southeast Asia money laundering allegations, tighter regulation news 2025-10-27 20:39 0.41 negative news dominates as money laundering allegations from Cambodia, stablecoin distrust, and more weigh on sentiment 2025-10-27 19:38 2.84 positive momentum on US-China trade talks, BTC surge, institutional investments set to spread 2025-10-27 18:34 0.89 negative factors such as Cambodia's illegal remittance issue mixed with BTC rebound, Pycoin surge, etc 2021-10-27 17:34 0.96 BTC Expected to Break $11.5K, Cambodia Anti-Money Laundering Issue, Regulatory Risks Mixed cambodia 2025-10-27 16:29 2.35 interest rate cut expectations, institutional buying, ETF inflows positive, but stablecoin credibility concerns coexist 2025-10-27 15:36 3.24 dogecoin surges, BTC shorts liquidate, AI payments market grows, trade talks are expected, and more positive 2025-10-27 14:31 1.25 BTC surpasses $1.6 billion in KRW, Indian court legalizes crypto, but tighter regulation, money laundering suspicions are mixed 2025-10-27 13:34 1.63 JPYC launches, trading volume surges, good news on ETFs vs. North Korea hack money laundering allegations crypto News 2025-10-27 12:33 0.60 BTC-ETH technical rebound notwithstanding, risks include tighter lending regulations and money laundering allegations 2025-10-27 11:37 2.17 BTC flat amid XRP ETF approval hopes, institutional sponsored platform news, and other positives vs. regulatory risks 2025-10-27 10:39 2.88 BTC breaks $11.4k, rate cut expectations rise vs. volatility warnings, money laundering suspicions 2025-10-27 09:37 2.77 BTC-ETH bull run continues, institutional buying, trade deal optimism vs. some regulatory risks bTC-ETH 2025-10-27 08:34 2.46 BTC breaks $11.3k, US-China summit expected, but money laundering allegations and peak theory wary bTC-ETH 2025-10-27 07:36 1.66 strong US CPI, rate cut expectations, BTC $160,000 optimism vs. regulatory uncertainty 2025-10-27 06:31 2.36 BTC nears $11.4k, microstrategy buys, US-China trade talks hopeful vs. whales wary of volume movement 2025-10-27 05:30 0.36 some experts warn of a major crash, outflow concerns vs. trade deal expectations positive 2025-10-27 04:34 0.37 BTC hits new highs and institutional buying vs. plunge warnings - tighter regulation concerns 2025-10-27 03:33 2.38 BTC breaks $11.2K, altcoins rally, etc. positive vs. MACD plunge signal, etc. negative 2025-10-27 02:32 1.bTC BTC reserves expand, hints of rate cuts, etc. positive vs. 70% crash warning, regulatory risks 2025-10-27 01:33 1.02 big Buying and ETFs buzz vs. 70% Plunge Warning - Mining Regulatory Risks

looking at the latest 24 hours of data, yesterday evening (20:00-21:00), sentiment cooled sharply due to bad news such as the money laundering allegations in Cambodia, and the score dropped to 0. However, since then, expectations of US-China trade talks, global institutional fund inflows, anda series of bignews stories have broughtthe score back up to 3.in particular, the news of Citigroup's partnership with Coinbase, the purchase of Bitcoin by former President Trump's family, and the anticipation of a meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and former President Trump seem to have greatly stimulated the market's buying sentiment. however, most recently, around 05:00, sentiment has cooled down somewhat, with the score temporarily dropping to 1.79 due to the controversial issue of node operator liability under the BIP-444 proposalwithin the Bitcoin community. overall, the positive factors still predominate, but there are some regulatory issues and profit-taking here and there, so it's a case of 'bullish on anxiety'.

analyzing fundamental factors: good news vs. bad news

the cryptocurrency market has recently seen a mix of macroeconomic news andindustry-specific issuesthat have sent mixed signals to investors. let's break down the key ingredients into positive and negative factors.

  • positive fundamental factors:

    • interest rates and liquidity: the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) announcement of an end to quantitative tightening (QT)and hinting at possible future rate cuts heralded abundant liquidity in the market. Easing inflation and the expectation of rate cuts are factors that stimulate sentiment in favor of risk assets such as Bitcoin.

    • improving macro environment: Signs of easing US-China trade disputes and rising expectations of international cooperation, such as the APEC summit, improved overall investor sentiment. the weakening of the dollar, coupled with global capital flows into emerging assets, has also created a positive tailwind for Bitcoin and altcoin markets.

    • institutional and corporate demand: News of global financial institutions and large corporations entering the crypto space continues. for example, Citigroup and Coinbase 's announcement of a collaboration to develop a blockchain payments infrastructure, global asset managers' expectations of approving a Bitcoin spot ETF, and IBM's unveiling of its digital asset platform are boosting market confidence. We're also seeing a number of large capital inflows, including additional Bitcoin purchases by institutions such as MicroStrategy, and BTC purchases by mining companies backed by the Trump family, which are bolstering price momentum.

    • technology evolution and adoption: technological advancements and institutional adoption are also favorable, including Cardano's (ADA) new protocol (x402) upgrade and Coinbase-Binance integration, as well as news of upcoming ETF listings for altcoins such as Solana (SOL), Litecoin (LTC), and Hedera (HBAR). ripple (XRP) is also seeing increased anticipation ahead of the US SEC's approval of its ETF on November 1, and XRP's founder's price target of $1,000 is also boosting sentiment.

    • favorable political issues: pro-crypto developments are being observed in the US presidential election politics. with former President Trump officially running for re-election, positive comments about the crypto industry and pardons granted to industry figures(such as the pardon for Binance CZ, the world's largest exchange) are raising expectations of easing regulatory risks. Additionally, the prospect of easing US-China tensions is boosting macro confidence in Bitcoin, with news of a meeting between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

  • negative risk factors:

    • regulatory and legal risks: Even in the midst of a bull market, there are signs of increased regulationeverywhere. allegations of illegal cryptocurrency transfers and money launderingbetween South Korea and Cambodia have led to investigations by authorities, creating tension in the market. In addition, the regulatory posture of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and taxation and capital control moves by governments are perceived as constant risks by investors. even within the Bitcoin developer community, the controversy surrounding the BIP-444 proposalhas raised the issue of node operators' liability, exposing governance uncertainty.

    • security and stablecoin issues: Securityconcerns continue to be raised, includingallegations of cryptocurrency theft and laundering by North Korean hackers and the use ofcryptocurrencies to fund terrorism in certain countries. Incidents that undermine trust in stablecoins (e.g., concerns about stablecoin reserve requirements) can also cause market-wide unease. in Korea, there are discussions of introducing a Korean won-based stablecoin , but it has been pointed out that it will be difficult to activate it in the short term due to coin run concerns.

    • profit-taking and bubble warnings: The rapid bull market has led some expertsto warn of a bubble and possible crash. indeed, there have been some forecasts citing the possibility of a 70% drop from the previous highs, but there have also been concerns about a large-scale correctiondue to short-term overheating. Overnight, the crypto market has seen a historic liquidationof long and short positions, with KRW 19 trillion worth of positionsbeing wiped out, which could be a warning sign of increased volatility and leverage overheating. Altcoins such as XRP have been particularly affected by the liquidation, so it is important to be mindful of the risk of volatility going forward.

overall, the improving macroeconomic environment and favorable institutional newsare providing a solid foundation for the crypto market's medium- to long-term upside. however, regulatory issues and signals of speculative overheating that emerge at the end of each bull run should be watched for as they could trigger a short-term correction. with this mixed bag of ingredients, investors are advised to focus on the big picture of macro trends and fundamentalsrather than getting caught up in the news.

technical analysis: price trends and technical indicators

bitcoin chart technical analysis: Bitcoin has been on a steep uptrend in recent weeks, breaking above both the $110,000 and $115,000 dollar levels, which were key resistance levels. On the daily chart, the price has broken out of a prolonged sideways rangeand entered a new uptrend phase. currently, the price is correcting slightly after breaking above the all-time high, but in the big picture, the uptrend lineremains intact.

technical momentum indicators are also largely bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering around 70, which is relatively overbought and may call for a breather in the short term, but it's important to note that in a bull market, the RSI can stay in the overheated zone for a long time. The MACD oscillator continues to grow in positive territory after breaking above the signal line, indicating that the upward momentum is solid. looking at the Bollinger Bands, we see that price is near the upper band and the bands are widening, indicating that volatilityhas increased recently along with trend momentum, which is important to note as short-term corrections can often occur near the upper band.

in terms of moving averages, the short-term 20-day moving averageis steeply rising and forming supportjust below the current price (around the 150-160K mark). the important 50-day and 200-day moving averages have alsomaintained their upward slopes, confirming the long-term uptrend since they each recorded golden crosses. bitcoin price remains well above these long-term moving averages, indicating a strong bull market on a trendbasis.

key Support and Resistance Levels: To the upside, we currently see near-term resistance levels around$116.5K and $120K formed last night, with $120K in particular being a psychological resistance level and a level that many analysts are citing as the next target, and a break above that level could see further acceleration. on the downside, the last breakout level in the mid-$160K range (circa $113K) is likely to act as primary support, and below that, the low-$150K range (circa $106K), which formed the bottom during the previous correction, could set up additional support levels. this is a medium to long term selling zonethat has seen strong buying interest in the past , soif a correction does occur, we will need to see ifbargain hunters are attracted near this price level.

altcoins: Ethereum (ETH) is trending upward similarly to Bitcoin, but it is still far from its all-time high ($4,800) set in 2021. in recent days, ETH has encountered strong resistance in the $4.5-4.7 million range, but has broken through it on the back of Bitcoin's strength and now sits at $6.1 million. ETH's RSI is also in the bullish range of 60-70, suggesting that it has further upside relative to Bitcoin. technically, the ETH/BTC pairhas been slightly underperforming Bitcoin, but there is potential for ETH and other major altcoins to follow suit if funds flow out of Bitcoin and into altcoins.

ripple (XRP) is currently consolidating in the mid-$3,000s after a spike following the risk of a lawsuit with the US SEC. despite expectations of an upcoming ETF approval and long-term optimism from the community, we're seeing short-term profit-taking at the $4,000 level. technically, XRP is trading sideways above the 200-day moving average, looking for signs of a trend reversal.

solana (SOL) has recently rebounded strongly, re-entering the top 10 market capitalizations and being touted as "the next Bitcoin to reach $1 trillion". The price of SOL is nearing all-time highs, trading above $300,000, but still has some upside to reach its previous record (around $260). technical indicators suggest that SOL may be entering a short-term overheating level, which could lead to a correction, but the medium- to long-term trend is solid, driven by its active use in the decentralized finance (DeFi) and NFT space.

elsewhere, Dogecoin (DOGE) temporarily saw a 62% spike in trading volume and attempted to break through the 300 KRW mark on meme-coin-specific speculative demand, but has since settled back into the low 200s along with the overall market correction. chainlink (LINK) has seen recent strength, rising to the $27,000 level and attempting a technical breakout on increased demand for decentralized oracles. tron (TRX) has seen little price movement, but short positions are accumulating as funding costs in the derivatives market dip into negative territory, suggesting a short-covering rally is possible.

overall, the major altcoins are in the midst of a rotational sell-off following the Bitcoin-led rally. in technical analysis, the MACD indicator and 200-day moving average of the altcoin market are alsosignaling a bullish turn after a long bearish phase, raising the possibility of "ending the longest bear market in altcoin history." however, given the tendency for altcoins to surge in the final stages of Bitcoin's leadership, we caution against short-term over-exuberance and call for selection and focus.

on-chain and sentiment indicators

on-chain data and sentiment indicators are also providing a good indication of current market conditions. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is currently hovering around 70, in the "Greed" phase. this means that investor sentiment is fairly bullish, suggesting that there is a strong sense of greedin the market. it's generally interpreted that when the index goes above 80 and into extreme greed, the probability of a short-term correction increases, and while we're not there yet, we're high compared to historical averages, so investors need to be wary of the herd mentality. the Warren Buffett mantra of "be afraid when others are greedy" is also valid at this point.

meanwhile, on-chain transaction flowsshow that the Bitcoin network's hashrate (a measure of mining difficulty) is hitting record highs. network security and mining power are steadily increasing, with one mining company (Hive Digital) announcing that it has achieved a hashrate of 22EH/s, for example. this is an indicator that the fundamentalsof the Bitcoin network are becoming stronger. Whale investors are also active, and in addition to the aforementioned large purchases by Trump family-linked funds, we've seen several wallets move thousands of BTC. it's worth noting that many of these whale transfers are from exchanges to private wallets (coin outflows), which is taken as a positive on-chain signal that suggests long-term holding intentions. conversely, a spike in deposits to exchanges could act as selling pressure, but so far we're seeing more on-chain activity driven by increased demandrather than any specific mass selling behavior.

network usage is alsoon the rise. bitcoin's daily active address count and Ethereum's network fees (gas fees) have also been on the rise recently, suggesting an influx of new participants and increased trading activity. the Ethereum-based DeFi locked-up deposits (TVL) metric has also shown a modest recovery, indicating that investors are again injecting funds into the crypto ecosystem.

derivatives market trends: funding rates and position analysis

indicators in derivatives markets, such as futures and options, provide a glimpse into the direction of investors' positions and leverage levels.

for starters, the Funding Rate for Bitcoin futures is currently around +0.0031%, indicating a slight long dominance. this means that longs are paying some funds to shorts, indicating that market participants are largely betting on the upside. however, the funding ratio itself is not large enough to indicate an overheating of long positions. Ethereum is in a similar position at +0.0048%. on the contrary, there are some tokens that have negative funding rates on Binance, such as BNB andTRX (TRON) at -0.0084% and -0.0172% respectively, indicating that short positionsare dominant in these tokens. for example, Tron's recent lack of significant movement and consolidation in a range suggests that short interest has built up somewhat, while BNB's breathing room following its price surge suggests that short interest has increased as it targets a short-term correction. overall, given that the funding rates of the major coins are not skewed to extremes, overheated long-short tilts are stilllimited.

looking atopen interest, the Bitcoin futures market has seen a steady increase in openinterestrecently, reaching near record highs, indicating a large influx of new money and positions, which is a sign of investor interest and expectations. however, it is important to note that a large buildup of open interest, as we saw with the $19 trillion liquidation rush mentioned earlier, can trigger a cascade of liquidations at onceand amplify volatility during price movements. The market is currently characterized more by the risk/opportunity of a spike via a short squeeze thana long squeeze. In fact, we saw this a few days ago when Bitcoin broke through the $110,000 mark, triggering a massive liquidation of short positions and sending the price up sharply. this increase in leveraged positionsis a double-edged sword, as on the one hand, it can fuel further gains, but on the other hand, it can also set the stage for a sharp correctionin the event of a move in the opposite direction.

the options market also provides a glimpse into investor sentiment. the put/call ratio for Bitcoin options has remained relatively low recently, which means that call options (bets to go up) are in higher demand than put options. investors are actively buying call options in anticipation of higher prices in the future, while demand for protective put options (downside bets) is relatively low. While these options market indicators show that overall medium-term bullish expectations prevail, the flip side is that they also suggest that there may be insufficient hedging against the upsets that occur when everyone is still optimistic. if volatility indicators (such as the VIX) or Option IV (implied volatility) show signs of spiking in the future, you should be alert to the change in sentiment.

in summary, data from derivatives markets supports the current bullish sentiment. However, in highly leveraged markets, downside pressures risk being amplified in the event of an unexpected correction, so be wary of over-betting andmaintain a flexible response strategy.

overall outlook and strategy

at this point, the cryptocurrency market appears to be entering a brief pause in its bullish trend. bitcoin remains in a solid uptrend on technical and fundamental indicators, and thanks to a number of favorable factors, it seems likely to continue its all-time highsby year-end. In fact, some are even calling for a"$150,000Bitcoin by year-end" based on the recent short squeeze rally. given the supportive backdrop of an improving global liquidity environment and institutional inflows, we are bullish on the medium to long-term bull case.

however, it's worth keepingan eye open for a near-term correction. as we've seen, the greed index is rising, some altcoins are showing signs of overheating, and there are community and regulatory issues. we have seen in the past that short-term sharp declines and volatilityhave occurred right after a Bitcoin surge or when most market participants join in on the optimism, so if you are a trader, you may want to consider a buy-and-hold strategy on corrections rather than chasing, and if you are an investor, you may want to consider rebalancing your portfolioto adjust the weighting of stocks that have surged or take some profits.

managing sentiment and risk is alsoimportant. it is advisable to trust the underlying uptrend, but avoid unnecessary leverage and refine your stop-loss strategy, especially for the more volatile altcoins, as they can move sharply on a single piece of news. On the other hand, a market correction could be an opportunity to buy bargains on leading coins with strong fundamentals.

in conclusion, the current crypto market can be summarized as a "mixed correction amidst trending strength" phase. while the macro environment and technical trends still point to the upside, we need to remain vigilant against short-term overheating. Upcoming key events - such as the outcome of the US Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, the approval of a Ripple ETF, and regulatory policy announcements from major countries - could cause temporary volatility, requiring an investment strategy that keeps aclose eye on the news, but goes with the flow. from a longer-term perspective, the market is entering a different stage of maturity than previous bull markets, with increased institutional participation and institutional acceptance. as a result, we should expect a healthy uptrendrather than a speculative frenzy, and investors will need a balanced approach that prepares them for the upcoming opportunities while not neglecting to manage risk.